Disney’s Lucasfilm prequel “Rogue One: A Star Wars Story” is set to open to $150 million domestically, according to an average of multiple estimates obtained by TheWrap.
The studio has set $150 million on the high end of those predictions and $120 million on the low end.
Counting international estimates, the highly anticipated tentpole will earn up to $300 million globally this weekend — as it rolls out in all major territories abroad, except for China and South Korea.
These aren’t quite “Force Awakens” numbers — but domestic estimates represent roughly more than half of the record-breaking $248 million that the previous “Star Wars” movie debuted to at the same time last year.
The second “Star Wars” movie to come out since Disney acquired Lucasfilm stars Felicity Jones as rebellion leader Jyn Erso.
It was made for a reported $200 million (not counting marketing costs) and will play in more than 4,100 theaters in the U.S. and Canada — which includes roughly 400 IMAX screens, and more than 500 Premium Large Format screens.
“Rogue One” should easily enter the ranks of the top 20 movie openings of all time. A number of $150 million would rank it 14th, just behind “The Hunger Games” and “Spider-Man 3,” and ahead of “Furious 7.”
Directed by Gareth Edwards, the “Star Wars” prequel also stars Diego Luna, Ben Mendelsohn, Donnie Yen, Mads Mikkelsen, Alan Tudyk, Riz Ahmed, Jiang Wen and Forest Whitaker.
So far, “Rogue One” has a 79 percent on Rotten Tomatoes as its reviews embargo lifted on Tuesday.
But wait. There are, indeed, other movies that are daring enough to compete with “Rogue One” this weekend:
Trackers and distributors at Warner Bros. have Will Smith’s holiday drama “Collateral Beauty” opening to more than $12 million, set to screen in more than 2,000 locations.
The New Line release was produced for $36 million and has a 14 percent on Rotten Tomatoes so far — but that could easily jump to a higher figure as many more critics are set to weigh in.
“Collateral Beauty” is something of a modernized “It’s a Wonderful Life,” directed by David Frankel (“The Devil Wears Prada,” “Marley & Me”). It stars Will Smith, Keira Knightley, Edward Norton, Naomie Harris, Helen Mirren and Michael Peña and revolves around a New York executive (Smith) who retreats from his life after suffering a great personal tragedy. He later seek answers from the universe on the topics of Love, Death and Time.
“La La Land” expands to roughly 200 theaters in its second weekend. Made for a $30 million (not counting marketing costs), the Lionsgate film starring a singing and dancing Emma Stone and Ryan Gosling debuted to a record-breaking $881,104 last weekend, representing the highest per-location average of all time for five theaters.
Writer-director Damien Chazelle’s lauded musical also features Finn Wittrock, Sandra Rosko and John Legend. It has a 95 percent on Rotten Tomatoes and scooped up the most Golden Globe nominations of any film this year. It also won Best Film honors from both the New York Film Critics Circle and the Critics’ Choice Awards — among several other awards it has already garnered.
“Manchester by the Sea” expands in its fifth weekend, after already amassing $3.1 million in its limited release. The Roadside Attractions drama has a nearly perfect 97 percent on the aforementioned reviews aggregation site. It was written and directed by Kenneth Lonergan, who also wrote and directed the widely lauded 2011 drama “Margaret.” He also wrote the screenplay for Martin Scorsese’s “Gangs of New York” and the Robert De Niro comedy “Analyze This.”
“Manchester” also has a lot of awards season heat behind it, as star Casey Affleck won the Critics’ Choice Award for Best Actor on Sunday. Also starring Michelle Williams and Kyle Chandler, it is a forlorn family tale about deep loss and its toll.
Golden Globes 2017: See the Nominees (Photos)
Bryan Cranston, Sarah Paulson and Riz Ahmed are among the nominees for the Golden Globes this year
Best Motion Picture – Drama
“Hacksaw Ridge” “Hell or High Water” “Lion” “Manchester by the Sea” “Moonlight”
TWC
Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
“20th Century Women” “Deadpool” “Florence Foster Jenkins” “La La Land” “Sing Street”
TWC
Best Director – Motion Picture
Damien Chazelle–“La La Land” Tom Ford–“Nocturnal Animals” Mel Gibson–“Hacksaw Ridge” Barry Jenkins–“Moonlight” Kenneth Lonergan–“Manchester by the Sea”
Lionsgate
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
Casey Affleck–“Manchester by the Sea” Joel Edgerton–“Loving” Andrew Garfield–“Hacksaw Ridge” Viggo Mortensen–“Captain Fantastic” Denzel Washington–“Fences”
Amazon Studios
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Colin Farrell–“The Lobster” Ryan Gosling–“La La Land” Hugh Grant–“Florence Foster Jenkins” Jonah Hill–“War Dogs” Ryan Reynolds–“Deadpool”
Fox
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Annette Bening–“20th Century Women” Lily Collins–“Rules Don’t Apply” Hailee Steinfeld–“Edge of Seventeen” Emma Stone–“La La Land” Meryl Streep–“Florence Foster Jenkins”
Lionsgate
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture
Mahershala Ali--"Moonlight" Jeff Bridges--"Hell or High Water" Simon Helberg--"Florence Foster Jenkins" Dev Patel--"Lion" Aaron Taylor Johnson--"Nocturnal Animals"
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture
Viola Davis–“Fences” Naomie Harris–“Moonlight” Nicole Kidman–“Lion” Octavia Spencer–“Hidden Figures” Michelle Williams–“Manchester by the Sea”
Amazon Studios / Roadside Attractions
Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
“La La Land” “Nocturnal Animals” “Moonlight” “Manchester By The Sea” “Hell or High Water”
CBS Films
Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language
“Elle” “Neruda” “The Salesman” “Toni Erdmann” “Divines”
Sony Pictures Classics
Best Motion Picture – Animated
“Kubo and the Two Strings” “Moana” “My Life as a Zucchini” “Sing” “Zootopia”
Disney
Best Original Score - Motion Picture -"Moonlight" "La La Land" "Arrival" "Lion" "Hidden Figures"
Best Original Song – Motion Picture
“Can’t Stop the Feeling”–“Trolls” “City of Stars”–“La La Land” “Faith”–“Sing” “Gold”–“Gold” “How Far I’ll Go”–“Moana”
DreamWorks
Best Television Series – Drama
“The Crown” “Game of Thrones” “Stranger Things” “This Is Us” “Westworld”
HBO
Best Performance by an Actress In A Television Series – Drama
Best Performance by an Actor In A Television Series – Drama
Rami Malek–“Mr. Robot” Bob Odenkirk–“Better Call Saul” Matthew Rhys–“The Americans” Liev Schrieber–“Ray Donovan” Billy Bob Thornton–“Goliath”
USA
Best Television Series - Musical or Comedy
"Atlanta" "black-ish" "Mozart in the Jungle" "Transparent" "Veep"
HBO
Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy
Anthony Anderson–“black-ish” Gael García Bernal–“Mozart in the Jungle” Donald Glover–“Atlanta” Nick Nolte–“Graves” Jeffrey Tambor–“Transparent”
Amazon
Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy
Rachel Bloom–“Crazy Ex-Girlfriend” Julia Louis-Dreyfus–“Veep” Sarah Jessica Parker–“Divorce” Issa Rae–“Insecure” Gina Rodriguez–“Jane the Virgin” Tracee Ellis Ross–“black-ish”
Getty Images
Best Television Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
“American Crime” “The Dresser” “The Night Manager” “The Night Of” “People v. O.J. Simpson”
FX
Best Performance by an Actor in a Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television --
Riz Ahmed--"The Night Of" Bryan Cranston--"All the Way" John Turturro--"The Night Of" Tom Hiddleston--"Night Manager" Courtney B. Vance--"People v. O.J. Simpson"
AMC
Best Performance by an Actress in a Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Felicity Huffman–“American Crime” Riley Keough–“The Girlfriend Experience” Sarah Paulson–“People v. O.J. Simpson” Charlotte Rampling–“London Spy” Kerry Washington–“Confirmation”
HBO
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Sterling K. Brown–“People v. O.J. Simpson” Hugh Laurie–“The Night Manager” John Lithgow–“The Crown” Christian Slater–“Mr. Robot” John Travolta–“People v. O.J. Simpson”
FX
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Olivia Colman–“The Night Manager” Lena Headey–“Game of Thrones” Chrissy Metz–“This Is Us” Mandy Moore–“This Is Us” Thandie Newton–“Westworld”
HBO
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Take a look at the stars who might be accepting a Golden Globe when the award ceremony airs on Jan. 8
Bryan Cranston, Sarah Paulson and Riz Ahmed are among the nominees for the Golden Globes this year