Update Dec. 30, 2015, 11 a.m.: Shortly after this post was published, TheWrap learned that like last year, Sony did not buy any Super Bowl ad time this year, so that would bring the total number of possible movie trailers down to 19. The original post is below.
Super Bowl 50 is still more than a month away, but the AFC and NFC champions won’t be the only ones doing battle during the big game: Hollywood studios will be flexing their marketing muscles with ad buys for their best blockbuster bets — but a seat at the table doesn’t come cheap.
As of early November, CBS chief Les Moonves said there were a “few units left to sell” and “you can imagine what these last few slots will go for.” Indeed, a 30-second slot is said to be going for approximately $5 million, as AdAge reported the asking price for a 30-second Super Bowl ad has increased by an average of 11.1 percent each of the past five years.
Though no studios have unveiled which trailers they’ll be showing during the Super Bowl, TheWrap has a pretty good idea of what movies we might see in the starting lineup on Feb. 7.
While Hollywood never misses an opportunity to play to the cameras, and there’s no single TV event with a bigger audience than the Super Bowl, keep in mind that a Super Bowl ad doesn’t guarantee box office success. “Tomorrowland,” “Seventh Son,” “Unfinished Business” and “Hot Tub Time Machine 2” bought time last year, but it didn’t help them turn a profit. And of the top five highest-grossing movies of 2014, only “Captain America: The Winter Soldier” advertised during the Big Game.
After examining the 2016 release schedule and each studio’s Super Bowl ad buys over the past three years, here are 21 movies that are strong candidates to take the field before, during and after the NFL’s championship game.
DISNEY
1. “Captain America: Civil War” (May 6) – Marvel’s masterpiece of muscles is a no-brainer for the Big Game considering the performance of “Captain America: The Winter Soldier” following its Super Bowl ad. Perhaps we’ll see more of Chadwick Boseman‘s “Black Panther,” who’s shaping up to be a fan favorite?
2. “The Jungle Book” (April 15) – Jon Favreau‘s gorgeous adaptation of Rudyard Kipling’s classic tale may skew a little young for Super Bowl audiences, but really, you’re never too old for a great story, especially one with such realistic CGI.
3. “Alice Through the Looking Glass” (May 27) – Like it or not, the first “Alice in Wonderland” grossed over $1 billion, so respect must be paid in the form of Super Bowl ad time. “Alice” will have enough competition over Memorial Day weekend thanks to “X-Men: Apocalypse,” so if it wants to best its predecessor at the box office, Disney may have to step up to the plate and shell out with a statement buy.
3. “Warcraft” (June 10) – Universal is distributing this Legendary title, which both studios hope will launch a franchise based on the popular computer game. It’s a major summer movie that could use a boost given its big-budget and lack of marquee stars.
4. “Neighbors 2” (May 20) – This R-rated sequel may prove to be a little too raunchy for the Super Bowl crowd, but we’d love to see a few family-friendly gags in an early spot that airs later in the evening, even if it’s after the final whistle. We can’t decide what we love more in the photo below — Rose Byrne‘s cheerleader outfit or Seth Rogen‘s makeshift abs.
2. “Star Trek Beyond” (July 22) – Paramount used the Super Bowl to promote “Star Trek Into Darkness” in 2013, but that film was released in May. The studio may feel that July is too far off to spend $5 million or more promoting this Idris Elba-enhanced sequel, but Paramount has always been a big believer in making a marketing splash. It sure would be nice to get beamed up before halftime.
3. “Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows” (June 3) – Will Paramount show off its Turtle Power during the Super Bowl? The slick-looking sequel seems like more fun than the original and introduces fan favorites Casey Jones, Bebop and Rocksteady. The studio bought an ad last year for a “Spongebob Squarepants” movie since a lot of little kids watch the Big Game, so it’s possible “Turtles 2” could fill that younger-skewing slot.
2. “Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them” (Nov. 18) – This is Warner Bros. other big bet of 2016 — a J.K. Rowling-penned spinoff of the Harry Potter franchise centered around magiczoologist Newt Scamander, played by Eddie Redmayne. Fans of Hogwarts textbooks recently caught a glimpse of the next chapter in the Potterverse, but WB could offer audiences a bigger taste during the Big Game.
3. “The Legend of Tarzan” (July 1) – This is studio’s big movie over the 4th of July weekend and it hails from “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows” director David Yates. Alexander Skarsgard hasn’t proven himself as a movie star yet but this is his big shot, and a Super Bowl spot would communicate to moviegoers that Warners has high hopes for the King of the Jungle.
4. “Central Intelligence” (June 17) – If Kevin Hart‘s pairing with Ice Cube, “Ride Along,” can open to $41 million, then New Line’s action-comedy pairing Hart with Dwayne Johnson could open to $50 million or more with a little luck. Both charismatic actors have tremendous social media followings and a Super Bowl spot would go viral in no time. “Central Intelligence” isn’t as big as the other Warner Bros. movies on this list, but a Super Bowl spot could be well worth it for the studio.
5. “Suicide Squad” (Aug. 5) – Warner Bros. was practically forced to put the extended “Suicide Squad” trailer online this summer after a poor-quality version leaked online after Comic-Con. The studio would be working on its own timetable with a Super Bowl spot, but it’s just as possible they’ll opt to keep the focus on “Batman v Superman” in terms of comic book movies. This villainous ensemble doesn’t wreak on the DC Universe until August, so a new trailer would just be a bonus rather than an inevitability, though that title isn’t very Super Bowl-friendly.
2. “The Brothers Grimsby” (March 11) – A Sacha Baron Cohen movie still represents a Comedy Event on the release calendar, and this spy comedy boasts his biggest budget yet. Cohen’s character is a soccer hooligan, so it makes perfect sense for Sony to cut a spot based on his sports fandom, with plenty of action interspersed, of course.









