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Good Morning Oscar, Feb. 2: Predictions Bonanza

In the hours before nominations were announced, pundits from around the web weighed in

In this morning’s roundup of Oscar news ‘n’ notes from around the web, we’ll take our cue from Edward Douglas of ComingSoon.net, who tweeted Monday night: “So does anyone NOT have any Oscar predictions these days?”

The answer: apparently not.

So this’ll be a roundup of predictions, which can be checked for accuracy before most people are even out of bed on Tuesday morning.

The trouble is, everybody’s pretty much picking the same movies, with minor variations. I mean, the Best Picture lineup that I predicted on Monday — “Avatar,” “District 9,” “An Education,” “The Hurt Locker,” “Inglourious Basterds,” “Invictus,” “Precious,” “A Serious Man,” “Up” and “Up in the Air” – is the exact same lineup predicted by Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kris Tapley (In Contention), Erik Childress (Cinematical), Dan Stasiewski (The Film Chair Journal). Katey Rich (Oscar Eye) seems to have the same choices, though she’s a little vague on her Number 10 pick.

But others substitute a few different films for the last couple of spots, usually in place of “A Serious Man” or, occasionally, “Invictus,” “Up” or “An Education.”

For instance:

Michael JacksonPete Hammond: “Michael Jackson’s This Is It.” (Notes on a Season)

Guy Lodge: “Crazy Heart.” (In Contention)

Sasha Stone: “Star Trek.” (Awards Daily)

Dave Karger: “Star Trek,” too. (Oscar Watch)

Richard Roeper: Another "Star Trek." (Richard Roeper and the Movies)

Scott Feinberg: “The Blind Side.” (And the Winner Is … )

Roger Ebert: another for “The Blind Side.” (rogerebert.com)

Jeff Sneider: “The Blind Side,” “Star Trek.” (The Insneider)

 Danny King: “The Messenger.” (The King Bulletin)

We Are Movie Geeks: “Star Trek,” “The Hangover,” “This Is It.” 

Finally, this isn’t an Oscar forecast per se, but it’s another take on the idea: After locking in his predictions, Dave Karger looks at possible surprises. His list includes an “Invictus” shutout, a Best Actress nomination for Zoe Saldana for “Avatar,” a Stanley Tucci nod for “Julie & Julia” rather than “The Lovely Bones,” and “Inglourious Basterds” costars Diane Kruger and Melanie Laurent both making the Supporting Actress race. (Oscar Watch)