Awards Tracker

The Voting Booth Awards Tracker presented by Sony Pictures Classics

TheWrap’s Awards Tracker uses a proprietary algorithm built on 25 years of awards history to forecast Academy Awards outcomes across eight major categories. Updated in real time, it maps how early nominations and wins at shows like the Golden Globes, DGA, and BAFTA impact their chances of Academy Award glory. Learn more about the methodology here.

Best Picture

  1. Wicked: For Good
    Probability: 67% No change: 0%

    Prior to 2026, only 11 sequels have been nominated for Best Picture.

  2. Train Dreams
    Probability: 67% No change: 0%

    Joel Edgerton hasn’t starred in a Best Picture nominee since 2012’s “Zero Dark Thirty.”

  3. Sinners
    Probability: 67% No change: 0%

    Only eight horror films have been nominated for Best Picture. You can read William Bibbiani’s breakdown here.

  4. Sentimental Value
    Probability: 67% No change: 0%

    Joachim Trier’s “The Worst Person in the World” picked up nominations for Best International Feature and Best Original Screenplay, but it was not recognized in Best Picture.

  5. One Battle After Another
    Probability: 67% No change: 0%

    “One Battle After Another” would be the third consecutive Best Picture nominee for director Paul Thomas Anderson following “Licorice Pizza” and “Phantom Thread.”

  6. Marty Supreme
    Probability: 67% No change: 0%

    Timothée Chalamet has starred in seven Best Picture nominees across the past 10 Academy Awards ceremonies.

  7. Jay Kelly
    Probability: 67% No change: 0%

    Noah Baumbach’s last Oscar nomination was not for a film he directed, but for co-writing Greta Gerwig’s “Barbie.”

  8. Hamnet
    Probability: 67% No change: 0%

    “Hamnet” could join “Hamlet,” “West Side Story” and “Shakespeare in Love” as the fourth Shakespeare-related story to win Best Picture.

  9. Frankenstein
    Probability: 67% No change: 0%

    No film starring a title character of the Universal Monster movies has ever been nominated for Best Picture.

  10. Bugonia
    Probability: 67% No change: 0%

    “Bugonia” would be Yorgos Lanthimos and Emma Stone’s third collaboration (following “The Favourite” and “Poor Things”) to get a Best Picture nomination.

  11. Weapons
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    Zach Cregger could follow in Jordan Peele’s footsteps as a sketch comedy star who directed one of the few horror movies to be nominated for Best Picture.

  12. Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    Both of Rian Johnson’s prior “Knives Out” movies were nominated for screenplay awards. Neither got a Best Picture nod.

  13. Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    Biopics about musicians have been nominated for Best Picture at the last three Academy Awards ceremonies. At least one biographical film has been in every Best Picture lineup since 2008 — before the Academy expanded from five nominees.

  14. Sorry, Baby
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    Eva Victor could join a short list of filmmakers whose debut features were nominated for Best Picture.

  15. Song Sung Blue
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    Hugh Jackman has not starred in a Best Picture nominee since 2012’s “Les Misérables.”

  16. The Secret Agent
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    Last year, “I’m Still Here” became the first Brazilian film and the first Portuguese-speaking film nominated for Best Picture. “The Secret Agent” would be the second.

  17. Nuremberg
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    It’s been more than 60 years since Stanley Kramer’s “Judgment at Nuremberg” was nominated for 11 Oscars

  18. Nouvelle Vague
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    “Nouvelle Vague” is one of two films directed by Richard Linklater in contention for Best Picture this year.

  19. No Other Choice
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    Like Jafar Panahi, Park Chan-wook has never had a film nominated for an Oscar across his acclaimed career.

  20. It Was Just An Accident
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    Despite an acclaimed career, Jafar Panahi has never had a film nominated for an Oscar.

  21. Is This Thing On?
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    After “Maestro,” Bradley Cooper joined a rare class of filmmakers, including Orson Welles, James L. Brooks and Frank Darabont, whose first two features were nominated for Best Picture.

  22. A House of Dynamite
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    “A House of Dynamite” would be Kathryn Bigelow’s first Best Picture nomination in more than a decade.

  23. Hedda
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    No adaptation of a Henrik Ibsen play has been nominated for Best Picture.

  24. Blue Moon
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    Richard Linklater and Ethan Hawke waited years to develop “Blue Moon” until Hawke had appropriately aged into the role.

  25. Avatar: Fire & Ash
    Probability: 10% No change: 0%

    “Avatar” could join “The Godfather” and “The Lord of the Rings” series as the only franchises with three consecutive Best Picture nominations.

Best Director

  1. Ryan Coogler Sinners
    Probability: 60% No change: 0%

    “Sinners” could bring Ryan Coogler his first directing nod at a major awards ceremony.

  2. Joachim Trier Sentimental Value
    Probability: 60% No change: 0%

    Joachim Trier picked up a screenplay nomination for “The Worst Person in the World,” but he missed out on Best Director.

  3. Paul Thomas Anderson One Battle After Another
    Probability: 60% No change: 0%

    Paul Thomas Anderson has been nominated for 11 Oscars. He has won 0.

  4. Josh Safdie Marty Supreme
    Probability: 60% No change: 0%

    “Marty Supreme” marks Josh Safdie’s first solo directorial feature since his debut film. It could also bring him his first Oscar nomination.

  5. Chloé Zhao Hamnet
    Probability: 60% No change: 0%

    After becoming only the second woman to win Best Director at the Oscars, Chloé Zhao could become the first to win twice.

  6. Guilermo del Toro Frankenstein
    Probability: 60% No change: 0%

    “Frankenstein” would mark only Guillermo del Toro’s second nomination for Best Director. See our article on Frankenstein for more.

  7. Jon M. Chu Wicked: For Good
    Probability: 32% No change: 0%

    Despite winning Best Director at Critics’ Choice and the National Board of Review, Jon M. Chu missed the nomination at the Oscars for “Wicked.”

  8. Clint Bentley Train Dreams
    Probability: 32% No change: 0%

    This would be Clint Bentley’s second year in a row as a nominee — though last year, he was nominated as a screenwriter for “Sing Sing,” which he did not direct.

  9. Richard Linklater Nouvelle Vague
    Probability: 32% No change: 0%

    Richard Linklater helmed two films released in 2025, both of which find themselves on the list of Best Director contenders.

  10. Park Chan-Wook No Other Choice
    Probability: 32% No change: 0%

    Park Chan-wook has never received an Oscar nomination, nor have any of his films.

  11. Jafar Panahi It Was Just An Accident
    Probability: 32% No change: 0%

    Jafar Panahi would be the first Iranian director to be nominated in this category.

  12. Kathryn Bigelow A House of Dynamite
    Probability: 32% No change: 0%

    Kathryn Bigelow holds the distinction of being the first woman to win an Oscar for Best Director. Only two more have followed.

  13. Yorgos Lanthimos Bugonia
    Probability: 32% No change: 0%

    Yorgos Lanthimos has been nominated for five Oscars (two Best Picture, two Best Director, one Best Original Screenplay).

  14. Richard Linklater Blue Moon
    Probability: 32% No change: 0%

    Richard Linklater directs frequent collaborator Ethan Hawke for a ninth time in “Blue Moon.”

  15. James Cameron Avatar: Fire and Ash
    Probability: 32% No change: 0%

    After winning Best Director for “Titanic,” James Cameron was again nominated for the prize for “Avatar.” Though “The Way of Water” was nominated for Best Picture, Cameron did not get a third Director nod.

Best Actor

  1. Joel Edgerton Train Dreams
    Probability: 72% No change: 0%

    Joel Edgerton has never gotten a Best Actor nomination.

  2. Michael B. Jordan Sinners
    Probability: 72% No change: 0%

    While “Sinners” could bring Ryan Coogler his first nominations for directing and screenwriting, it could give Michael B. Jordan his first Oscar nomination overall.

  3. Wagner Moura The Secret Agent
    Probability: 72% No change: 0%

    Wagner Moura already picked up the Best Actor prize at Cannes Film Festival. Now, he could become first Brazillian actor nominated in this category — and the third nominated for acting overall.

  4. Leonardo DiCaprio One Battle After Another
    Probability: 72% No change: 0%

    Leonardo DiCaprio could surpass Denzel Washington and Bradley Cooper as the most-nominated male actor this century, with 6 nods since 2000.

  5. Timothée Chalamet Marty Supreme
    Probability: 72% No change: 0%

    Following Colman Domingo, Timothée Chalamet could become the second person this decade nominated for Best Actor two years in a row.

  6. Ethan Hawke Blue Moon
    Probability: 72% No change: 0%

    Ethan Hawke could join the five-timers club of Oscar nominees. Two of his prior nominations were for acting, while two were for screenwriting. Three of these four nominations were for Richard Linklater collaborations.

  7. Daniel Craig Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery
    Probability: 21% No change: 0%

    Daniel Craig has been nominated for playing Benoit Blanc twice at the Golden Globes.

  8. Jeremy Allen White Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere
    Probability: 21% No change: 0%

    The past four Academy Awards ceremonies have featured Best Actor nominees who portrayed real musicians.

  9. Dwayne Johnson The Smashing Machine
    Probability: 21% No change: 0%

    The last year the Best Actor race didn’t involve an actor portraying a real person was 2007.

  10. Hugh Jackman Song Sung Blue
    Probability: 21% No change: 0%

    This would mark Hugh Jackman’s second Best Actor nomination — both for musical performances.

  11. Rami Malek Nuremberg
    Probability: 21% No change: 0%

    To date, Rami Malek’s only nomination is for his Oscar-winning role in “Bohemian Rhapsody.”

  12. Lee Byung-hun No Other Choice
    Probability: 21% No change: 0%

    Lee Byung-hun would be the second South Korean actor nominated in this category — and the third South Korean performer nominated for acting overall.

  13. George Clooney Jay Kelly
    Probability: 21% No change: 0%

    After George Clooney got four acting nominations (one win) across seven seasons, “Jay Kelly” would mark his first acting nod since 2012.

  14. Oscar Isaac Frankenstein
    Probability: 21% No change: 0%

    “Frankenstein” would mark Oscar Isaac’s first Academy Awards nomination.

  15. Jesse Plemons Bugonia
    Probability: 21% No change: 0%

    Jesse Plemons has appeared in seven Best Picture nominees, but he was only nominated for “The Power of the Dog.”

  16. Daniel Day-Lewis Anemone
    Probability: 21% No change: 0%

    Daniel Day-Lewis got his last Best Actor nod for his “retirement film,” “Phantom Thread.”

Best Actress

  1. Amanda Seyfried The Testament of Ann Lee
    Probability: 74% No change: 0%

    This would be Amanda Seyfried’s first Oscar nomination for a musical, and her second nomination overall.

  2. Renate Reinsve Sentimental Value
    Probability: 74% No change: 0%

    Renate Reinsve received much acclaim for her performance in her last collaboration with Joachim Trier, “The Worst Person in the World,” though she missed out on the Oscar nomination.

  3. Chase Infiniti One Battle After Another
    Probability: 74% No change: 0%

    Chase Infiniti would join a rare class of actors nominated for their first feature film performance.

  4. Rose Byrne If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
    Probability: 74% No change: 0%

    Rose Byrne has gotten off to an early start with wins at Berlin International Film Festival and New York Film Critics Circle, as well as nominations at ceremonies like the Gothams and the Independent Spirit Awards.

  5. Jessie Buckley Hamnet
    Probability: 74% No change: 0%

    “Hamnet” would mark Jessie Buckley’s second Oscar nomination this decade following her Best Supporting Actress nomination for “The Lost Daughter.”

  6. Emma Stone Bugonia
    Probability: 74% No change: 0%

    Emma Stone and Sean Penn both have the opportunity to become the first actors to win three performance Oscars this century.

  7. Cynthia Erivo Wicked: For Good
    Probability: 18% No change: 0%

    Cynthia Erivo could join a short list of actors to be nominated twice for playing the same character.

  8. Kate Hudson Song Sung Blue
    Probability: 18% No change: 0%

    Kate Hudson has not been nominated for an Oscar in the 25 years since her turn in “Almost Famous.”

  9. Tessa Thompson Hedda
    Probability: 18% No change: 0%

    Tessa Thompson would follow Glenda Jackson as the second woman to score a Best Actress nomination for playing Hedda Gabler.

  10. Jennifer Lawrence Die My Love
    Probability: 18% No change: 0%

    This would mark Jennifer Lawrence’s first nomination since being recognized four times between 2010 and 2015.

  11. Sydney Sweeney Christy
    Probability: 18% No change: 0%

    The Best Actress category has not gone without a biographical performance since 2010.

  12. Julia Roberts After the Hunt
    Probability: 18% No change: 0%

    Julia Roberts could become a five-time acting nominee more than a decade after her last nomination.

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Stellan Skarsgård Sentimental Value
    Probability: 72% No change: 0%

    This would mark Stellan Skarsgård’s first Oscar nomination in his 53-year career.

  2. Sean Penn One Battle After Another
    Probability: 72% No change: 0%

    Sean Penn and Emma Stone both have the opportunity to become the first actors to win three performance Oscars this century.

  3. Benicio del Toro One Battle After Another
    Probability: 72% No change: 0%

    2026 marks 25 years since Benicio del Toro won his acting Oscar for 2001’s “Traffic.”

  4. Adam Sandler Jay Kelly
    Probability: 72% No change: 0%

    Adam Sandler once again finds himself in the awards race in the same season as Josh and Benny Safdie — who nearly directed him to a Best Actor nomination in 2019’s “Uncut Gems.”

  5. Paul Mescal Hamnet
    Probability: 72% No change: 0%

    This would be Paul Mescal’s second acting nomination — despite only appearing in his first movie in 2021.

  6. Jacob Elordi Frankenstein
    Probability: 72% No change: 0%

    Jacob Elordi could become the first actor to be nominated for playing the iconic role of Frankenstein’s Creature — a part taken on by the likes of Christopher Lee and Robert De Niro.

  7. Jonathan Bailey Wicked: For Good
    Probability: 25% No change: 0%

    Jonathan Bailey missed the Supporting Actor nomination for “Wicked” last year.

  8. Josh O'Connor Wake Up Dead Man
    Probability: 25% No change: 0%

    Josh O’Connor could become the first actor to get a nomination for appearing in a “Knives Out” movie.

  9. Jeremy Strong Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere
    Probability: 25% No change: 0%

    Jeremy Strong has already been nominated for one Oscar and three Emmys this decade.

  10. Delroy Lindo Sinners
    Probability: 25% No change: 0%

    Delroy Lindo once again finds himself in the awards race following a notable omission from the Best Actor lineup in 2021 for “Da 5 Bloods.”

  11. Miles Caton Sinners
    Probability: 25% No change: 0%

    Miles Caton would be the 10th youngest Best Supporting Actor nominee ever.

  12. Billy Crudup Jay Kelly
    Probability: 25% No change: 0%

    Billy Crudup is one of the contenders with the shortest screen time in this year’s race with a performance only spanning a few scenes.

  13. Andrew Scott Blue Moon
    Probability: 25% No change: 0%

    Andrew Scott was nominated at last year’s SAG, Golden Globes and Critics Choice ceremonies — on the TV side for “Ripley.”

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Ariana Grande Wicked: For Good
    Probability: 69% No change: 0%

    Ariana Grande could join a short list of actors to be nominated twice for playing the same character.

  2. Amy Madigan Weapons
    Probability: 69% No change: 0%

    It has been 40 years since Amy Madigan got her last Oscar nomination.

  3. Wunmi Mosaku Sinners
    Probability: 69% No change: 0%

    Wunmi Mosaku already won Outstanding Supporting Performance at the Gotham Film Awards.

  4. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas Sentimental Value
    Probability: 69% No change: 0%

    Like her “Sentimental Value” castmates, this would be the first Oscar nomination for Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas.

  5. Elle Fanning Sentimental Value
    Probability: 69% No change: 0%

    Despite being nominated for numerous acting awards since she was a child, Elle Fanning has never gotten an Oscar nomination.

  6. Teyana Taylor One Battle After Another
    Probability: 69% No change: 0%

    Teyana Taylor could join a short list of musicians who win acting awards at the Oscars — a feat that could also be accomplished by Ariana Grande.

  7. Emily Blunt The Smashing Machine
    Probability: 26% No change: 0%

    Emily Blunt could secure her second nomination this decade following her turn in “Oppenheimer.”

  8. Hailee Steinfeld Sinners
    Probability: 26% No change: 0%

    Hailee Steinfeld was last nominated for an Oscar for “True Grit” when she was only 14 years old.

  9. Jayme Lawson Sinners
    Probability: 26% No change: 0%

    Jayme Lawson is part of the robust supporting cast that makes “Sinners” a strong contender for the inaugural Best Casting category at the Oscars.

  10. Regina Hall One Battle After Another
    Probability: 26% No change: 0%

    “One Battle After Another” could become the first film to receive six acting nominations in a single year.

  11. Gwyneth Paltrow Marty Supreme
    Probability: 26% No change: 0%

    Gwyneth Paltrow hasn’t been nominated for an Oscar since she won in 1999 for “Shakespeare in Love” — a film with a few narrative connections to this year’s “Hamnet.”

  12. Odessa A'Zion Marty Supreme
    Probability: 26% No change: 0%

    Odessa A’Zion also stars in “I Love LA,” which will release its final episode just days before “Marty Supreme” hits theaters.

  13. Jennifer Lopez Kiss of the Spider Woman
    Probability: 26% No change: 0%

    Jennifer Lopez received numerous nominations for her role in “Hustlers,” including SAG, Golden Glboes and Critics Choice. She was not nominated for an Oscar.

  14. Rebecca Ferguson A House of Dynamite
    Probability: 26% No change: 0%

    This would mark Rebecca Ferguson’s first Oscar nomination, though she has starred in two Best Picture nominees: “Dune” and “Dune: Part Two.”

  15. Nina Hoss Hedda
    Probability: 26% No change: 0%

    Nina Hoss recently received acclaim for her supporting role in “Tár,” though it didn’t materialize in an Oscar nomination.

  16. Ayo Edebiri After the Hunt
    Probability: 26% No change: 0%

    Ayo Edebiri’s Oscar nomination would come hot on the heels of her nods at the 2025 Emmys for acting in and directing “The Bear.”

Best Screenplay (Original)

  1. Weapons Zach Cregger
    Probability: 76% No change: 0%

    Zach Cregger’s “Weapons” screenplay was at the center of an intense bidding war. New Line won for a reported $38 million.

  2. Sorry, Baby Eva Victor
    Probability: 76% No change: 0%

    “Sorry, Baby” could join a growing list of movies nominated only for their screenplays, including the first two “Knives Out” movies.

  3. Sinners Ryan Coogler
    Probability: 76% No change: 0%

    Ryan Coogler has been nominated for two Oscars before: for producing “Judas and the Black Messiah,” and for co-writing the song “Lift Me Up” from “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever.”

  4. Sentimental Value Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier
    Probability: 76% No change: 0%

    Eskil Vogt and Joachim Trier were previously nominated for this category with “The Worst Person in the World,” the final film in their Oslo Trilogy.

  5. Marty Supreme Josh Safdie, Ronald Bronstein
    Probability: 76% No change: 0%

    This year, Josh Safdie competes in the Original Screenplay category, while his brother, Benny, is eligible for Adapted Screenplay with “The Smashing Machine.”

  6. Jay Kelly Noah Baumbach, Emily Mortimer
    Probability: 76% No change: 0%

    “Jay Kelly” would mark Noah Baumbach’s fourth screenwriting nomination at the Oscars, and Emily Mortimer’s first Oscar nomination in general.

  7. The Secret Agent Kleber Mendonça Filho
    Probability: 35% No change: 0%

    “The Secret Agent” would become the first Brazilian film nominated for Best Original Screenplay, and Kleber Mendonça Filho the first Brazilian screenwriter.

  8. It Was Just An Accident Jafar Panahi
    Probability: 35% No change: 0%

    Asghar Farhadi (“A Separation”) is the only Iranian screenwriter with an Original Screenplay nomination.

  9. Is This Thing On? Bradley Cooper, Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, John Bishop
    Probability: 35% No change: 0%

    Bradley Cooper has 12 Oscar nominations and 0 wins.

  10. A House of Dynamite Noah Oppenheim
    Probability: 35% No change: 0%

    This would mark the first Oscar nomination for former NBC News President Noah Oppenheim.

  11. Blue Moon Robert Kaplow
    Probability: 35% No change: 0%

    While “Blue Moon” is based on real people, it is a fictional imagining of a night in songwriter Lorenz Hart’s life.

Best Screenplay (Adapted)

  1. Train Dreams Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar
    Probability: 71% No change: 0%

    Greg Kwedar and Clint Bentley were nominated for Adapted Screenplay last year alongside Clarence Maclin and John “Divine G” Whitfield for writing “Sing Sing.”

  2. One Battle After Another Paul Thomas Anderson
    Probability: 71% No change: 0%

    Paul Thomas Anderson’s 11 Oscar nominations include five for his screenplays. He has yet to win.

  3. No Other Choice Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Jahye Lee, Don McKellar
    Probability: 71% No change: 0%

    Park Chan-Wook has never been nominated for an Oscar.

  4. Hamnet Chloé Zhao, Maggie O'Farrell
    Probability: 71% No change: 0%

    Chloé Zhao was previously nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay for her Best Picture winner “Nomadland.” This time, she writes alongside Maggie O’Farrell, who wrote the novel “Hamnet.”

  5. Frankenstein Guillermo del Toro
    Probability: 71% No change: 0%

    “Frankenstein” would mark Guillermo Del Toro’s first screenplay nomination since his Best Picture winner “The Shape of Water” (which lost in the Best Original Screenplay category to “Get Out”).

  6. Bugonia Will Tracy
    Probability: 71% No change: 0%

    “Bugonia” is only the second film written Will Tracy, former editor-in-chief of “The Onion.”

  7. Wicked: For Good Winnie Holzman, Dana Fox
    Probability: 39% No change: 0%

    “Wicked” got 10 nominations at last year’s Oscars, but Best Adapted Screenplay was not one of them.

  8. Wake Up Dead Man Rian Johnson
    Probability: 39% No change: 0%

    Rian Johnson could become the first screenwriter to receive Oscar nominations for writing three consecutive films in a series.

  9. Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere Scott Cooper
    Probability: 39% No change: 0%

    Scott Cooper received a WGA nomination for the screenplay for “Crazy Heart,” but not an Academy Awards nomination.

  10. Song Sung Blue Craig Brewer
    Probability: 39% No change: 0%

    “Song Sung Blue” directly adapts Greg Kohs’s 2008 documentary of the same name.

  11. Nuremberg James Vanderbilt
    Probability: 39% No change: 0%

    This would be James Vanderbilt’s first Oscar nomination, though he did receive a WGA nod for the film “Zodiac.”

  12. Hedda Nia DaCosta
    Probability: 39% No change: 0%

    Nia DaCosta draws from the oldest work this season, adapting Henrik Ibsen’s 1891 play “Hedda Gabler.”

  13. Avatar: Fire and Ash James Cameron, Josh Friedman, Rick Jaffa, Shane Salerno, Amanda Silver
    Probability: 39% No change: 0%

    Neither “Avatar” film has been nominated for its screenplay, despite both being Best Picture nominees.

Methodology

The Awards Tracker draws from 25 years of historical data across eight major awards shows: SAG, DGA, BAFTA, WGA, PGA, Golden Globes, Critics Choice, and the Oscars. For each year since 2000, we compiled all nominees and winners in eight top Academy Award categories: Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, Best Supporting Actress, Best Original Screenplay, and Best Adapted Screenplay.

Using this comprehensive dataset, we calculated the percentage likelihood that a nomination or win at a precursor ceremony translates to an Oscar nomination or win. These probabilities update in real time throughout awards season as new nominations and winners are announced, giving users an up-to-date snapshot of each contender’s statistical path to the Oscars.

Our goal is to provide a data-backed, transparent view into the momentum and predictive power of precursor awards as the season unfolds.

Awards Coverage