Oscar Predictions: Why 2020 Could Be the Year Underdogs Have a Real Shot


Will the peculiar circumstances of 2020 persuade voters to step outside their comfort zones?

steve pond

If you look at the Oscar predictions that are floating around these days, this could be the oddest and most intriguing Oscars year ever. Among the contenders that are currently predicted to land Best Picture nominations by one pundit or another are several films that would normally be considered the likely province of the Film Independent Spirit Awards (“Minari,” “First Cow,” “Promising Young Woman,” “Never Rarely Sometimes Always”) and others that you’d usually expect to be stronger contenders in the acting categories (“On the Rocks,” “Ammonite,” “French Exit”).

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Steve Pond

Steve Pond has been writing about film, music, pop culture and the entertainment industry for more than 40 years. He has served as TheWrap’s awards editor and executive editor, awards since joining the company in 2009. Steve began his career writing about music for the Los Angeles Times, where he remained a contributor for more than 15 years, and Rolling Stone, where he was West Coast Music Editor and wrote 16 cover stories. He moved into film coverage with a weekly column in the Washington Post and became a contributing writer at Premiere magazine, where he became the first journalist to have all access to the Academy Awards show and rehearsals. He has also written for the New York Times, Movieline, the DGA Quarterly, GQ, Playboy, the Christian Science Monitor, USA Today, New York, the Christian Science Monitor, Live! magazine and many others. He is the author of the Los Angeles Times bestseller “The Big Show: High Times and Dirty Dealings Backstage at the Academy Awards” (Faber and Faber, 2005). He has also written “Elvis in Hollywood” (New American Library, 1990) and contributed to books that include “Cash,” “The Rolling Stone Reader,” U2: The Rolling Stone Files,” “Bruce Springsteen: The Rolling Stone Files” and “The Rolling Stone Interviews: The 1980s.” He was the co-managing editor of the syndicated TV news program “The Industry News” and the creative consultant for the A&E series “The Inside Track With Graham Nash.” He has won L.A. Press Club awards for stories in TheWrap, the Los Angeles Times and Playboy, and was nominated for a National Magazine Award for a story in Premiere.